Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.160530 0.191281 0.225844 0.267500 0.316270 0.371487 0.438669
2025-04-27 0.124816 0.167120 0.219942 0.290424 0.381651 0.495352 0.647375
2025-05-04 0.101237 0.147937 0.210997 0.301684 0.427945 0.596556 0.837642
2025-05-11 0.081280 0.127917 0.195184 0.298168 0.450469 0.665701 0.990721
2025-05-18 0.064932 0.109230 0.177003 0.286684 0.457735 0.711714 1.113853
2025-05-25 0.052072 0.093163 0.159532 0.272527 0.457443 0.744509 1.218742
2025-06-01 0.045690 0.086335 0.155204 0.277788 0.487000 0.824564 1.403003
2025-06-08 0.038101 0.075973 0.143223 0.268232 0.490435 0.862539 1.522935
2025-06-15 0.034211 0.071589 0.140805 0.274523 0.520913 0.947235 1.727483
2025-06-22 0.030382 0.066623 0.136502 0.276597 0.543763 1.020648 1.919239
2025-06-29 0.026477 0.060802 0.129674 0.272839 0.555152 1.074497 2.081018
2025-07-06 0.023227 0.055771 0.123614 0.269617 0.566854 1.129523 2.249410
2025-07-13 0.021320 0.053514 0.123222 0.278467 0.604582 1.239456 2.536283
2025-07-20 0.020778 0.054311 0.129466 0.302114 0.675181 1.419962 2.977063
2025-07-27 0.019323 0.052670 0.130117 0.313785 0.722307 1.559052 3.350223
2025-08-03 0.017001 0.048441 0.124248 0.310135 0.736271 1.632692 3.599195
2025-08-10 0.014511 0.043277 0.115352 0.298219 0.730492 1.664711 3.765416
2025-08-17 0.012242 0.038228 0.105895 0.283529 0.716437 1.677392 3.891593
2025-08-24 0.011270 0.036604 0.104776 0.288989 0.749666 1.795573 4.255450
2025-08-31 0.009731 0.033008 0.097948 0.279071 0.744948 1.828883 4.435487
2025-09-07 0.009049 0.031862 0.097505 0.285600 0.781111 1.958152 4.842267
2025-09-14 0.008272 0.030254 0.095527 0.287752 0.806514 2.064785 5.206609
2025-09-21 0.007376 0.028069 0.091549 0.283853 0.815886 2.134301 5.490446